Ill-Informed-Scarecrow
0x6c3c6e63d243601af916b29567a35b2632ec7d56
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-262.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ARKANSAS STATE
Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5)
206 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-90.64
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
146 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-73.00
- YES
Will Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?
110 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-54.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 25?
87 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-43.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?$109.71Feb 20, 02:41 UTC
- SPLITWill Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?$109.71Jan 31, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 8?$109.00Jan 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 8?$108.78Jan 7, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?$88.00Jan 7, 16:34 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?$88.00Jan 2, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 30?$78.00Jan 2, 03:16 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 30?$78.00Dec 28, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 25?$87.00Dec 26, 11:01 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 25?$87.00Dec 23, 10:38 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$97.00Dec 21, 19:29 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$97.00Dec 16, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.2KDec 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$492.51Dec 7, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$134.87Dec 7, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$134.87Dec 7, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$134.87Dec 6, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$134.87Dec 6, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$134.87Dec 6, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$119.00Dec 6, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $161.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".