Pessimistic-Surprise
0x6c403c509ea7b49ce06f90d64122f0369a354cae
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$93.14
Total PnL
$-58.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
93 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$93.14
$27.01
- NO
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?
1309 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks?
720 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
40 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-17.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$66.13Apr 10, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$10.56Jan 3, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$54.86Jan 3, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$3.00Jan 3, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?$3.00Jan 3, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$18.00Jan 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$18.57Jan 3, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$6.08Jan 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$8.10Jan 3, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?$34.80Dec 15, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$40.00Dec 15, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$16.00Dec 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$17.60Dec 15, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$17.60Dec 15, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$20.00Nov 27, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks?$20.00Nov 27, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?$40.00Nov 27, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $22.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 01:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 23:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".