Shallow-Cicada
0x6c4af16565951c092adf6879ec42d83f133c31e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$64.00
Total PnL
$-108.20
Realised
$0.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
200 shares @ 33.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?
56 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 1?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
50 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
2 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$20.50May 19, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$0.00May 19, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$0.00May 19, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$32.00May 19, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$34.00May 19, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$83.12May 19, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?$0.93May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?$8.61May 17, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$13.00May 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?$10.50May 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$6.69May 17, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$2.06May 17, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$15.60May 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$24.45May 17, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?$12.50May 16, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?$10.15May 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$2.95May 13, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?$15.05May 8, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?$3.82May 8, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?$3.88May 8, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".