Regular-Molecule
0x6c4c57c93529c8d223b9b7571611a12c6855ea0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-135.26
Realised
$367.41
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
2153 shares @ 29.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$505.91
$-119.21
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
1390 shares @ 22.2¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$298.83
$-9.35
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
150 shares @ 36.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$149.93
$95.33
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1223 shares @ 19.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.81
$-94.10
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 34.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.99
$-4.00
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
1395 shares @ 13.3¢·now 5.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.11
$-107.94
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
463 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$67.63
$2.70
- NO
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?
58 shares @ 73.7¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.80
$5.82
- YES
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$42.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.15Jun 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42.50Jun 13, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20Jun 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.40Jun 13, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.30Jun 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20Jun 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.23Jun 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.90Jun 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95Jun 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.19Jun 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?$43.43Jun 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?$0.32Jun 13, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$2.3KJun 13, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$320.68Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$100.00Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$57.20Jun 11, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$66.00Jun 11, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $20.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.