Brilliant-Bureau
0x6c4e724b4e95a788b7af3f496457886e56b94fde
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$12.52
Total PnL
$-5.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.16
$0.02
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.95
$0.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.42
$0.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.26
$0.01
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will Belgium join the Board of Peace?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.01
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$2.14May 31, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.39May 9, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.24Apr 30, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.27Apr 28, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.05Apr 14, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium join the Board of Peace?$1.08Mar 30, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.25Mar 28, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.95Dec 30, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 3 straight weeks?$1.01Dec 7, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?$2.09Dec 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$2.14Dec 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEM>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$2.23Dec 7, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.05Dec 4, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$1.05Nov 28, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.03Nov 24, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chile Grande y Unido gain the most seats in the Senate election?$1.63Nov 24, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?$1.40Nov 21, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$23.70Nov 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.70Nov 15, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".