Absolute-Curtailment
0x6c567c31c29ff9962be3d7cf8b9a3e3e07d36e66
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-831.83
Realised
$-26.61
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?
725 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-346.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?
562 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-179.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?
223 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-104.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?
135 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?
135 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-45.09
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 18?
126 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 16?
89 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?
76 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-65.66
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 18?
34 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 18?
5 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?$66.45Aug 12, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?$45.25Aug 11, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?$36.17Aug 11, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8?$86.23Aug 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8?$56.75Aug 8, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$11.44Aug 8, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.04Aug 8, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.05Aug 8, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?$54.96Aug 7, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?$44.85Aug 7, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?$4.96Aug 7, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 7?$50.25Aug 6, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 7?$50.26Aug 6, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?$50.26Aug 6, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?$44.24Aug 6, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 6?$29.46Aug 6, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 6?$5.00Aug 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 6?$6.72Aug 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 6?$1.86Aug 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 6?$1.21Aug 6, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $90.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.