Dependable-Tent
0x6c5a163b7d43f3af6ba84812955959554d114b33
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$-283.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
29698 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-674.97
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
20344 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?
12556 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Was Kanye hacked?
7588 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
7297 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
6151 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-469.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
3846 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
3671 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$100.00Jan 24, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$100.00Jan 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$100.00Jan 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$50.00Jan 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.0KJan 15, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$560.00Nov 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$500.00Nov 18, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$1000.00Nov 4, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?$1000.00Nov 1, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$1000.00Nov 1, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during announcement today?$18.00Oct 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during announcement today?$19.88Oct 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during announcement today?$17.00Oct 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.00Sep 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$450.00Sep 17, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?$164.41Aug 25, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?$23.00Aug 25, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?$123.07Aug 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?$20.00Aug 25, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?$25.00Aug 25, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $189.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.