Chilly-Skiing
0x6c5d9beaeacdde39157bfa272cf93eed6256ce76
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-226.54
Win rate
1%
191 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2611 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-30.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
143 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-45.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
110 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
100 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-55.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$7.45Jul 15, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$3.87Jul 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.88Jul 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$3.66Jul 15, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$75.14Jul 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.63Jul 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4.17Jul 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4.99Jul 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.13Jul 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.97Jul 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.97Jul 15, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.78Jul 15, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$20.33Jul 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.27Jul 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.47Jul 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$4.37Jul 12, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$20.38Jul 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$8.88Jul 12, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.07Jul 12, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.56Jul 12, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 191 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
191 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 191 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.