Admired-Crop
0x6c5dd092089e3db777ed8bf90cebbb313d6e1da6
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$32.35
Total PnL
$-15.11
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.27
$0.05
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.13
$0.02
- NO
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.02
- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$1.08
$0.01
- NO
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.07
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Sweden by Feburary 1?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.07
$0.01
- NO
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.07
$0.01
- NO
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.07
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 23?$1.05Jan 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?$1.06Jan 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?$1.06Jan 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$1.06Jan 21, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$1.06Jan 21, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Sweden by Feburary 1?$1.06Jan 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.02Jan 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$1.07Jan 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.06Jan 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.01Jan 21, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.22Jan 21, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.12Jan 21, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.11Jan 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft reach $645 in January?$1.01Jan 21, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,900 January 19-25?$9.98Jan 21, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $420 in January?$1.01Jan 21, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta reach $880 in January?$1.01Jan 21, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $760 end of January?$1.01Jan 21, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of January?$1.01Jan 21, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?$1.01Jan 21, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 22:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.