0x6c6379fff50710a894b2cefcce4c33c59a1a37e7
0x6c6379fff50710a894b2cefcce4c33c59a1a37e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$70.70
Total PnL
$2.54
Realised
$-0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12?
55 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$54.57
$9.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$16.13
$6.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
83 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?
19 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- NO
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
13 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- NO
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
10 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?$10.00Mar 11, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12?$14.98Mar 11, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12?$15.00Mar 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12?$15.00Mar 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?$0.02Mar 10, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.13Mar 10, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 10, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$0.00Mar 10, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 10, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Mar 10, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$0.18Mar 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?$0.10Mar 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?$5.34Mar 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?$4.84Mar 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.10Mar 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Snapchat be acquired before 2027?$2.86Mar 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5$3.51Mar 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$0.93Mar 10, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$1.86Mar 10, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?$0.95Mar 10, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.