False-Material
0x6c6a1b9004f6f6fb62f5a2f589631d4faefd3600
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$9.30
Total PnL
$3.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 66.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.41
$0.31
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 17?
1 shares @ 88.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.00Oct 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Oct 17, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 17, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 17?$1.00Oct 17, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$1.00Oct 17, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?$1.37Oct 17, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$1.43Oct 17, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.69Oct 17, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?$1.30Jul 3, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$1.40Jul 3, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.18Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton win on 2024-12-07?$1.32Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?$1.69Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. 76ers$1.76Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration?$1.94Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?$2.03Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration?$1.30Jan 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$1.20Jan 15, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMCybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?$1.30Jan 15, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,300 on January 3?$1.81Jan 15, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $446.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 05:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".