0x6c6ba7afb2add976cac16e5ee86163f9120a9744
0x6c6ba7afb2add976cac16e5ee86163f9120a9744
Wallet digest
Activity score
17/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-217.24
Realised
$-43.99
Win rate
6%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will the announcers say "Knockout" or "Knock Out" or "Knocked Out" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?
1796 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-36.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 8?
1130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on March 8?
1015 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?
1005 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 11?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on March 11?
535 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on March 11?
505 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 9?
475 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 66°F or higher on March 8?
406 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 12?$2.93Mar 28, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 10?$5.00Mar 28, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 11?$5.00Mar 28, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 11?$15.00Mar 28, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 9?$1.83Mar 28, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 12?$5.00Mar 28, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 10?$5.00Mar 28, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 11?$5.00Mar 28, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 11?$5.00Mar 28, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 8?$5.00Mar 28, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 11?$5.00Mar 28, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 9?$5.00Mar 28, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.