Devoted-Solvency
0x6c7380ffa03ff76e9255ec2544a73111c944bf96
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$65.02
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$-149.41
Win rate
25%
197 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.04
$-6.96
- YES
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
517 shares @ 8.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.99
$-23.01
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10732 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-74.98
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
8333 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-34.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
5415 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
4008 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-32.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
3106 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-119.99
- TEAM VITALITY
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
3001 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
2452 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-78.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
2161 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-75.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.04Aug 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.04Aug 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.07Aug 8, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$4.27Aug 8, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$4.23Aug 8, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$4.24Aug 8, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$4.22Aug 8, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$10.51Aug 8, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.87Aug 8, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 197 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
197 closed markets, 25% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 197 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.