Rectangular-Electricity
0x6c79779210d56fd7017960253cb5039594f287a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.7K
Realised
$205.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
71529 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-27.7K
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 11?
6923 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
4074 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
2083 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will the AP call the election on November 6?
292 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2024$0.00
$-105.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$10.9KJan 23, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$2.2KNov 23, 07:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Nov 7, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.8KNov 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 6?$105.00Nov 6, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$5.4KNov 6, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$750.00Nov 6, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$1.2KNov 5, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 5, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.5KNov 5, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15.0KNov 4, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.7KNov 2, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$5.0KOct 25, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.0KOct 25, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.0KOct 25, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$12.5KOct 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 11?$300.00Oct 10, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.1KOct 9, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.0KOct 7, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$36.6KOct 3, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.