Canine-Adviser
0x6c804736349ad1adf55439a705cb6391ac579218
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$33.48
Total PnL
$-73.82
Realised
$-3.14
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?
5 shares @ 94.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.88
$0.13
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.87
$0.12
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?
5 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.84
$0.09
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.78
$0.03
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.72
$-0.03
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.72
$-0.03
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.68
$0.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
462 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
140 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
64 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?$4.76Jul 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?$4.76Jul 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?$4.76Jul 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?$4.76Jul 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?$4.76Jul 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$4.60Jul 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.76Jul 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 9?$4.33Jul 7, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 9?$4.82Jul 7, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.90Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.75Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$11.04Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$2.38Jun 27, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$2.01Jun 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2.02Jun 25, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$5.81Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$5.02Jun 23, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$15.02Jun 23, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$17.20Jun 19, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$10.01Jun 17, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.