Agitated-Listing
0x6c8234ab5e54f4856aa0e0ca380e19d68bbb5501
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.31
Total PnL
$-34.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$8.20
$3.20
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
38 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
20 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
20 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 18, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 13, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$8.00Jan 7, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$10.00Jan 7, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jan 3, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jan 3, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jan 3, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jan 3, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$17.86Jan 3, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?$5.12Dec 16, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$1.00Dec 10, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$1.00Dec 10, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$1.00Dec 10, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?$7.50Dec 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?$6.00Dec 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?$1.00Dec 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 8, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.