Pessimistic-Chairman
0x6c86b594a9597023d55b8d64d9fceedc537a69a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$200.00
Total PnL
$-474.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$200.00
$3.40
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1631 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-211.46
- NO
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?
273 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-266.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$495.50Mar 5, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$458.87Mar 5, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$86.40Mar 5, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$112.36Mar 1, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$140.98Feb 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$105.05Feb 28, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$729.72Feb 28, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$288.52Feb 27, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$200.00Feb 27, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$387.20Feb 27, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$500.00Feb 27, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$100.00Feb 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$300.00Feb 26, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$200.00Feb 26, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$196.60Feb 26, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$6.21Feb 25, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$26.69Feb 25, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$19.53Feb 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$10.17Feb 25, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$54.36Feb 25, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $195.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 04:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.