Whimsical-Semantics
0x6c8990359262ed0db094c29e5105da90e233e8e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-900.00
Realised
$-3.47
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 27?
29 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
29 shares @ 81.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-23.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14?
29 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 19?
29 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 9?
29 shares @ 86.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?
28 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-24.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11?
28 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 6?
28 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 15?
28 shares @ 87.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 11?
28 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-24.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 29?$27.47Jun 29, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?$28.73Jun 28, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?$29.06Jun 28, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?$28.73Jun 28, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 28?$28.73Jun 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 29?$6.49Jun 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 29?$13.17Jun 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 29?$11.83Jun 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?$19.53Jun 28, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?$28.73Jun 27, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 27?$29.06Jun 27, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 27?$29.06Jun 27, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Jun 27, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.29Jun 27, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$3.15Jun 27, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$3.15Jun 27, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.92Jun 27, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$7.10Jun 27, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 27?$12.94Jun 27, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 27?$29.06Jun 27, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $16.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.