Lovable-Barge
0x6ca88fcab8395d1789a918ec7b0c1afdff00d137
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
143
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$2.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- YES
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-06?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- INDIA
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
441 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
351 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
333 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
245 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$25.00Apr 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5$75.00Apr 7, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?$30.00Apr 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5$105.48Apr 7, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5$56.00Apr 6, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?$50.00Apr 6, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$105.69Apr 6, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5$50.00Mar 28, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$20.00Mar 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$26.00Mar 28, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$18.52Mar 28, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$18.53Mar 28, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5$5.00Mar 27, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$10.37Mar 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$10.00Mar 27, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$20.00Mar 27, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner$9.62Mar 27, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5$10.33Mar 27, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$21.28Mar 27, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner$5.00Mar 26, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $39.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 07:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.