Plain-Campaign
0x6cadb851f59d9a5fd26ba1073beedfec607593a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.96May 13, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Apr 3, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$1.00Mar 4, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Mar 4, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Feb 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Dec 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Nov 20, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?$1.00Nov 20, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union Berlin win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Nov 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?$2.00Nov 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Berlin win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Oct 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?$1.00Oct 8, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Oct 8, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 8, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Sep 29, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $22.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.