Reflecting-Modem
0x6cbc5b5db56951bb0b25dda4013d59895d831782
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?
1865 shares @ 79.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1428 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.96
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Francesco Farioli be the next Chelsea manager?
654 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
627 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-102.08
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?
400 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-244.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
356 shares @ 56.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Suns
256 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$244.00Jan 20, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the first round?$501.80Jan 20, 20:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 19, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$30.00Jan 18, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$29.97Jan 18, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$24.52Jan 18, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$27.40Jan 18, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$3.95Jan 18, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$7.90Jan 18, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$71.14Jan 18, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$78.40Jan 18, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$2.77Jan 18, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$3.89Jan 18, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?$10.53Jan 18, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.02Jan 18, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$80.93Jan 18, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$79.30Jan 18, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$4.92Jan 18, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$24.19Jan 18, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$1.66Jan 18, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $87.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".