Woeful-Reset
0x6cbd55394630881c16ba26fe55b7bb700f4be951
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$742.76
Total PnL
$16.64
Realised
$-3.88
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
543 shares @ 86.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$475.25
$5.47
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$86.11
$36.11
- NO
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$70.78
$10.77
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
86 shares @ 40.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$34.09
$-0.74
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 57.2¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.21
$-0.08
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
174 shares @ 11.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.49
$-3.74
- NO
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.98
$-0.67
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 34.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.40
$-3.03
- YES
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.78
$-2.22
- YES
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
24 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$11.65Jul 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?$11.65Jul 14, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?$7.72Jul 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$7.73Jul 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$21.29Jul 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$21.28Jul 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Putin by December 31?$6.72Jul 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$6.68Jul 13, 09:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$5.56Jul 12, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$4.00Jul 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$2.09Jul 12, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$11.70Jul 12, 06:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$7.63Jul 8, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$7.63Jul 8, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $13.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.