0x6cc08980552f2f90479ab42313210b8ce717d70f
0x6cc08980552f2f90479ab42313210b8ce717d70f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$2.81
Total PnL
$-310.28
Realised
$-21.55
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$2.81
$1.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
10043 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
2667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?
98 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$2.00Mar 20, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.01Mar 20, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 13, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 13, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?$2.00Mar 12, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 12, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 12, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.98Mar 5, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$6.47Mar 5, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$7.84Mar 5, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$0.01Mar 4, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$3.00Mar 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.00Mar 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$3.00Mar 4, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$3.00Mar 4, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.00Mar 4, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$5.01Mar 4, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$4.94Mar 4, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$5.02Mar 4, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".