Mundane-Zebrafish
0x6cc66448f76baa6c531fb41e9b29450641cad66a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$1.28
Total PnL
$-258.90
Realised
$12.72
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.28
$-0.72
- YES
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
1976 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
307 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
121 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
61 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
60 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on August 1?$2.10Aug 1, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 1?$2.08Aug 1, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$11.63Jul 31, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$5.20Jul 31, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.46Jul 31, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.06Jul 31, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on July 29?$15.38Jul 29, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Jul 29, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Jul 29, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.33Jul 29, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.07Jul 29, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.13Jul 29, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.04Jul 29, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.04Jul 29, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.04Jul 29, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.04Jul 29, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$5.05Jul 29, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$5.00Jul 29, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on July 29?$4.15Jul 29, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.08Jul 27, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.