Mixed-Unity
0x6cc8bc44c7f998c48e54cc9b8258a89626fe05b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$317.41
Realised
$1.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
1677 shares @ 53.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$208.43
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15200 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$737.20
$175.62
- YES
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
782 shares @ 76.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$629.34
$29.39
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
887 shares @ 56.4¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$536.35
$36.47
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
684 shares @ 43.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$455.02
$160.10
- YES
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
392 shares @ 68.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$268.79
$-0.04
- YES
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
335 shares @ 76.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$267.85
$11.04
- YES
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
327 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$246.51
$17.96
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2151 shares @ 9.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$198.92
$-1.07
- YES
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
31818 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$175.00
$-154.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$207.26Jul 29, 07:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.80Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$73.33Jul 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$106.96Jul 28, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$7.48Jul 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$7.00Jul 28, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$593.77Jul 28, 06:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.38Jul 27, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$6.80Jul 27, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$7.00Jul 27, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$6.80Jul 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.79Jul 27, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$4.07Jul 27, 01:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$207.61Jul 26, 19:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$4.09Jul 25, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$69.08Jul 25, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $72.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.