Chubby-Affect
0x6ce42405b8386b70df4416fe50b8176e6180a254
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$-1.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SPURS
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
50 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$50.00
$16.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$34.00Jan 17, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$80.00Jan 17, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$129.98Jan 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$10.60Nov 26, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$19.00Oct 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$3.00Oct 26, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$2.45Oct 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$21.85Oct 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$76.08Jul 29, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMPadres vs. Phillies$5.00Jul 29, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?$0.75Jun 30, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPadres vs. Phillies$3.40Jun 30, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Canadiens$0.00May 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Canadiens$3.64Apr 25, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill McDonald's worker get reward money before April?$7.00Apr 25, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McDonald's worker get reward money before April?$6.65Mar 11, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?$10.00Mar 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$46.85Mar 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$6.69Mar 2, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.95Mar 1, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.