Responsible-Immortal
0x6cebcd931968d78ee580c367c4a6e945ed99757d
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-144.84
Win rate
9%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
943 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
810 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
572 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
449 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
410 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
355 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
260 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-110.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
240 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-109.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.99Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.75Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.06Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.24Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.35Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.25Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$69.77Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$47.36Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$14.28Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$51.99Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$51.48Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$38.33Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$259.07Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$188.01Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$25.68Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.03Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$40.16Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.44Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00Jun 6, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Jun 6, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
45 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.