0x6cf1f0d93db3d5c6f0230c996dbec3433ad6507c
0x6cf1f0d93db3d5c6f0230c996dbec3433ad6507c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.22
Total PnL
$-5.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.96
$0.77
- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 17 2026?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.23
$0.04
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.86
$-0.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.48
$-0.71
- NO
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?
9 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$1.37
$-0.82
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.30
$-1.89
- YES
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
9 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.02
$-2.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?$2.25Aug 17, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 17 2026?$2.25Aug 17, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$0.00Aug 16, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$0.00Aug 16, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York?$2.84Aug 15, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?$4.13Aug 15, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?$2.27Aug 14, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$2.22Aug 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$2.24Aug 14, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?$2.24Aug 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?$2.23Aug 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in New York?$2.26Aug 13, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$0.00Aug 12, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?$3.98Aug 12, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York?$2.21Aug 12, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.19Aug 12, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?$2.23Aug 12, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.