Easy-Going-Archaeologist
0x6d033ac49adca8dfd65f8041327beec615b8bc42
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-642.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
4027 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-71.11
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
3527 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-47.99
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
2623 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-305.34
- NO
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2171 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-122.50
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?
1694 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-19.92
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
121 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?
38 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$2.34Jun 15, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$5.08Jun 14, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$7.71Jun 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.40Jun 14, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$5.05Jun 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$5.11Jun 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$5.10Jun 14, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$0.73Jun 14, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$5.16Jun 14, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$3.08Jun 14, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$2.06Jun 14, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$4.12Jun 14, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$5.15Jun 14, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$3.00Dec 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$20.00Dec 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$20.00Dec 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$28.12Dec 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?$6.00Nov 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$30.00Nov 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$6.00Nov 16, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.