Bare-Refund
0x6d11bac4ca5493c33c41d118b56b4b2d9804d407
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.88
Total PnL
$-0.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
1 shares @ 87.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- 25BPS CUT
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- DC
LoL: DC vs RR
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$1.00Nov 24, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?$0.97Nov 24, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?$1.00Nov 24, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ANO form a government after Czech election ?$0.99Nov 24, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANO form a government after Czech election ?$1.00Nov 24, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Nov 24, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DC vs RR$1.00Nov 24, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 01:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".