Glass-Warmth
0x6d1d720aad1324d819fdd17186525dcbaf35dacf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$21.60
Total PnL
$-2.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?
10 shares @ 34.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$10.49
$6.89
- NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$6.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on May 21?
11 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 21?
11 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 21?
11 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- TIMBERWOLVES
Clippers vs. Timberwolves
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?$5.04May 20, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 21?$2.08May 20, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on May 21?$1.88May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 21?$2.18May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?$3.72May 20, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Nuggets$2.35Apr 29, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Grizzlies$3.23Apr 29, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Magic$3.37Apr 29, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hawks (-7.5)$123.24Apr 29, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hawks (-7.5)$66.25Apr 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Grizzlies$3.00Mar 25, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Nuggets$2.00Mar 25, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Magic$3.00Mar 25, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Celtics$2.25Mar 8, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Spurs$2.70Mar 8, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?$5.01Mar 8, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Wizards$0.00Mar 6, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$0.00Mar 6, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?$5.00Mar 6, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Spurs$2.00Mar 6, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $221.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.