Gleaming-Swath
0x6d224f4a9b556d262f34bf1db2319ab2a6bdea55
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$273.32
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$2.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
176 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.00
$66.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
156 shares @ 67.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$119.32
$14.82
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
3529 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-353.86
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
750 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-97.50
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
731 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-384.82
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
721 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-326.87
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
600 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
552 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-145.04
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?
500 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-213.99
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
407 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-146.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$104.50May 15, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.18May 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$129.66May 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.92May 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$25.92May 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$25.71May 11, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$110.00May 10, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$124.54May 10, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$101.38May 10, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$112.57May 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$97.94Apr 27, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$25.75Apr 22, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.75Apr 22, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$14.00Apr 22, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$91.93Apr 22, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$56.08Apr 21, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$56.08Apr 21, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$46.46Apr 20, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?$46.05Apr 20, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?$35.00Apr 17, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $55.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".