Impassioned-Tophat
0x6d273f8e9be84d4ecdbc0fc94fa099e55d983ab0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 5AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
236 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.77
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
45 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
40 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?
36 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" during the State of the Union address?
19 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.98
- YES
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Thune" during the State of the Union address?
14 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.86
- YES
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
9 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.40Feb 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$0.67Feb 18, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$0.68Feb 18, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.04Feb 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$0.12Feb 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$4.44Feb 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$2.20Feb 16, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$1.10Feb 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$1.30Feb 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$1.30Feb 16, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$1.49Feb 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$12.80Feb 16, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.69Feb 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$3.87Feb 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.34Feb 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$10.05Feb 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?$2.40Feb 16, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?$1.45Feb 16, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?$4.20Feb 16, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?$6.95Feb 15, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.