Understated-Rethinking
0x6d2e2f571f3c123eb41f10d5d18b974fcf6e8833
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$4.11
Total PnL
$3.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur$1.13May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of December?$2.91May 18, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.94May 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.50Dec 5, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of December?$2.90Dec 5, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?$2.74Dec 5, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?$2.77Nov 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.71Dec 30, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMIslanders vs. Penguins$2.17Dec 30, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Lightning$2.59Dec 30, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Red Wings$2.27Dec 30, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMOilers vs. Ducks$4.61Dec 30, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Blues$0.00Dec 30, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMDolphins vs. Browns$0.00Dec 30, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMPackers vs. Vikings$2.06Dec 30, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$0.00Dec 30, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Rockets$4.00Dec 30, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Thunder$0.00Dec 30, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Celtics$5.26Dec 30, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Raptors$0.00Dec 30, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.