Scientific-Mascara
0x6d34ede0c2de2dc9d1e46586c50143d0c50b5aae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
13181 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?
9930 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.6K
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
1015 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-185.00
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1005 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Trump signs national abortion ban?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
366 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Trump transgender sports ban?
326 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?
283 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?
227 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?$6.6KOct 22, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$523.16Oct 21, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$400.00Oct 9, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$4.0KOct 4, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$4.0KOct 4, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$160.00Oct 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$4.4KOct 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?$100.00Oct 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$185.00Oct 1, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$100.00Oct 1, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$180.00Oct 1, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$2.0KOct 1, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$7.0KOct 1, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$4.4KSep 7, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $394.74Sep 7, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?$0.00Jan 1, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$0.00Jan 1, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$1.4KJan 1, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$10.0KJan 1, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$17.6KJan 1, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 22, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.