Complete-Seagull
0x6d3912363cc093ab4cbdb913c2ef26d98da4f42b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$3.10
Total PnL
$-54.07
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$0.04
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 9?
5250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 16?
5145 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 6?
1378 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 10?
1108 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 13?
1093 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 28?
1083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 3?
1079 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3?
1078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.11Jul 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.10Jul 2, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.06Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.05Jun 26, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 5?$2.12Jun 6, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 28?$2.17May 29, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 19?$2.15May 20, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?$1.1KMay 13, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?$1.1KMay 13, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 12?$1.1KMay 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 12?$1.1KMay 12, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$1.1KMay 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$1.1KMay 12, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$1.1KMay 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$1.1KMay 11, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 10?$1.1KMay 11, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 10?$1.1KMay 11, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?$1.1KMay 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?$1.1KMay 10, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?$1.1KMay 10, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $456.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.