Decimal-Increase
0x6d39544dc6af879918ac8381766636d6c816e9f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
- NO
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.24Aug 18, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $4.50 by February 28 2025?$1.07Aug 18, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $2.19Aug 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?$1.52Feb 12, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.50 by February 28 2025?$1.06Feb 12, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrudeau no confidence motion passes before April?$1.31Feb 12, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$1.82Feb 12, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$0.26Feb 12, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?$1.86Feb 12, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $1.40Jan 8, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?$1.49Jan 8, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$1.79Jan 8, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$1.48Jan 8, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau no confidence motion passes before April?$1.38Jan 8, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?$0.00Jan 8, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?$0.13Jan 8, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$0.17Dec 17, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?$1.30Dec 17, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.17Dec 17, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELL70°F in NYC in December?$1.56Dec 17, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.