Right-Urgency
0x6d3b8a79c57a1f4a5ff88f5410fa34277d7df9ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-967.43
Realised
$40.43
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
388 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
308 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8AM ET
269 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-37.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
249 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-15.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
189 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-18.32
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 3AM ET
186 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
185 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 31?
175 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.60Jul 4, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.05Jul 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.05Jul 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.03Jul 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.03Jul 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.04Jul 4, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.33Jul 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.01Jul 4, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.02Jul 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.02Jul 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.02Jul 4, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.95Jul 4, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$4.98Jul 4, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.03Jul 4, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.04Jul 4, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.04Jul 4, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.03Jul 4, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.