Downright-Committee
0x6d4dcca042e5624d33b4226cae64870bfbc88368
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?$59.00Feb 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$10.50Feb 13, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?$0.00Feb 13, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Feb 13, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices be greater than $5 for January?$0.00Feb 13, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?$5.63Feb 12, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?$3.37Feb 11, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?$0.82Feb 11, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$0.00Feb 11, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$3.00Feb 10, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Feb 10, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$2.12Feb 10, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Feb 10, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 0 times?$0.00Feb 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14?$1.12Feb 9, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Wizards$0.00Feb 9, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?$2.00Feb 9, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Wizards$5.00Feb 9, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?$5.00Feb 9, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?$4.00Feb 9, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.