Frilly-Ruin
0x6d538fa3e479a8640c740c284059d9ebf18746ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$5.94
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 92.4¢·now 74.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.19
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.06Jan 7, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.08Jan 7, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.32Jan 7, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$1.02Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.04Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.08Dec 10, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$2.05Dec 8, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$1.00Dec 8, 05:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $57.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".