Little-Gold
0x6d57da09ef86a327524853b36fbd2e39cf0cbfc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$93.6K
Total PnL
$74.1K
Realised
$77.3K
Win rate
73%
187 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
6914 shares @ 78.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.3K
$841.38
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
4047 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.9K
$76.96
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?
2461 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.3K
$61.27
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?
2425 shares @ 93.8¢·now 94.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.3K
$8.18
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?
2686 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.3K
$-80.32
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?
2401 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.2K
$1.56
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?
2399 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.2K
$12.00
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?
1985 shares @ 92.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.9K
$17.40
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?
1974 shares @ 92.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.8K
$21.83
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
1986 shares @ 90.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.8K
$27.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.83Jul 29, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?$8.84Jul 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?$6.76Jul 29, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?$32.64Jul 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?$34.34Jul 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?$32.64Jul 29, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?$0.21Jul 29, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?$37.24Jul 29, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$35.38Jul 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$72.23Jul 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?$31.85Jul 29, 01:28 UTC
- MERGEWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$5.98Jul 29, 01:16 UTC
- MERGEWill the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?$21.78Jul 29, 01:16 UTC
- MERGEWill the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?$220.00Jul 29, 01:16 UTC
- MERGEWill the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?$410.08Jul 29, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?$1.38Jul 29, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?$751.80Jul 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?$158.20Jul 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?$91.00Jul 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?$91.00Jul 29, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 187 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
187 closed markets, 73% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $63.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 187 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.