Arid-Bonfire
0x6d5ae2e35fdbd83fb9a0250075f20c757223beee
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$18.00
Total PnL
$-1.48
Realised
$-3.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Exact Score: Luxembourg 1 - 2 Italy?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$17.00
$1.70
- NO
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.00
$0.09
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
4 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Luxembourg 1 - 2 Italy?$15.35Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMFC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5$10.00Jun 2, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-27?$19.00Jun 2, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-27?$17.71May 27, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5$9.22May 23, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMADC Juan Pablo II College vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 4.5$15.00May 23, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYADC Juan Pablo II College vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 4.5$14.42May 16, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 25 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?$529.00Mar 26, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 25 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?$0.00Mar 26, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 25 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$0.00Mar 26, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 25 be less than 2,200,000?$0.00Mar 26, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 25 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?$0.00Mar 26, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 25 be greater than 3,000,000?$0.00Mar 26, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.1KMar 26, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.1KMar 26, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?$14.64Mar 26, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?$4.12Mar 26, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?$22.11Mar 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?$472.42Mar 26, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?$567.26Mar 26, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $325.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".