Reasonable-Butcher
0x6d6416f48f60fc08baaf65dccaf63a64f83dc9b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.26
Total PnL
$-10.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.26
$-0.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
6874 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2327 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2311 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2310 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2279 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2269 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2254 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
231 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-115.50
- YES
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.57Mar 21, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$7.58Mar 21, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$7.56Feb 4, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump resign in 2025?$1.01Feb 4, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.08Feb 4, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.51Feb 4, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$2.08Feb 4, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.46Dec 15, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.61Dec 9, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$2.00Nov 26, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.5KNov 17, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.6KNov 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.3KNov 17, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Nov 17, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Nov 17, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Nov 17, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Nov 17, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Nov 17, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $573.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 02:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".