Optimal-Armchair
0x6d689d535a36af082e70a0ad8974811cb1bac379
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-471.26
Realised
$2.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2PM ET
224 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-106.29
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
125 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- PIRATES
White Sox vs. Pirates
90 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?
90 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.31
- YES
Will Vidit Gujrathi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12PM ET
69 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-34.90
- YES
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6PM ET
57 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Kenny Hallaert win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 16 at 5PM ET?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$33.33Nov 16, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$28.09Nov 8, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$31.25Nov 8, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?$2.25Aug 11, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?$1.50Aug 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?$1.50Aug 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?$0.75Aug 10, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vidit Gujrathi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?$3.65Aug 8, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anish Giri win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?$4.80Aug 8, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vidit Gujrathi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?$0.35Aug 6, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Streaming" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?$50.00Aug 2, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$15.00Jul 31, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 1?$10.00Jul 30, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?$10.00Jul 30, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on July 30?$39.99Jul 30, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$2.62Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$5.38Jul 29, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on July 30?$3.60Jul 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$2.52Jul 28, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser in 2025?$26.92Jul 28, 01:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".