Lively-Colonization
0x6d708cbe9018b93b2be467566941a759b34ed4e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$16.03
Total PnL
$-41.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.78
$1.02
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 16?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$3.24
$0.19
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
268 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win on 2025-10-13?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?
10 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTitans vs. Colts$0.00Dec 16, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$0.00Dec 16, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$11.76Dec 16, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMTitans vs. Colts$5.49Dec 16, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$6.26Dec 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 16?$3.05Dec 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTitans vs. Colts$5.00Oct 26, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$5.00Oct 26, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$5.00Oct 26, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$16.85Oct 26, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$15.00Oct 19, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2025-10-13?$10.00Oct 13, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$6.10Oct 13, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,600 on July 25?$10.33Oct 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.10 in October?$3.00Oct 13, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $5.00Oct 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$5.00Jul 28, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,600 on July 25?$10.00Jul 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance) $0.00Jun 30, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance) $27.78Jun 30, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $8.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.