Distorted-Experiment
0x6d7416717c259b2cccc04dc4dfc62cda714cfb6c
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$977.30
Total PnL
$-651.84
Realised
$0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
500 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$496.92
$-0.75
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?
400 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$398.68
$-0.20
- NO
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?
40 shares @ 87.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$23.40
$-11.60
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.5B in Q3?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$15.30
$-0.30
- HAWKS
Knicks vs. Hawks
209 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-98.41
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
193 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-98.53
- PISTONS
Magic vs. Pistons
124 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-99.40
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
115 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$8.4214m ago
- TRADESELLWill Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?$4.0717h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?$4.2018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$497.8418h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.5B in Q3?$15.6019h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$4.6519h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?$17.6019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$4.8019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?$17.4020h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?$398.911d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$199.452d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$398.963d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?$398.623d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$198.893d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$199.583d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$300.023d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$100.003d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $143.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 14m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
