Ultimate-Giraffe
0x6d7d49ce16b86ca71ab447ac7c56000d4c5c18bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.54
Total PnL
$-19.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.60
$0.60
- YES
Will ENS win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
23 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high by March 31?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ENS win 2025 Uniswap Cup?$3.00Nov 15, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October?$2.02Oct 30, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?$2.23Oct 30, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 20?$2.25Oct 30, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 19?$5.95Oct 30, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?$2.00Oct 28, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.19Oct 28, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?$2.00Oct 19, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 20?$2.00Oct 19, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 19?$5.00Oct 19, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$1.58Oct 19, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October?$2.00Sep 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$1.00Sep 18, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.00Sep 18, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.15Sep 18, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$1.30Sep 18, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?$2.56Sep 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 16?$1.00Sep 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$1.00Sep 4, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 4, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 01:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".