Harmful-Pickax
0x6d7f461830032a4105183473f29d41dcb960a00d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
7808 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-348.99
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
6153 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.3K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5797 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5666 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
1588 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-190.09
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?
989 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-156.00
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?
781 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-164.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?
779 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
603 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- YES
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?
577 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?$20.00Mar 19, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?$43.00Mar 19, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$63.49Mar 19, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$40.00Mar 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?$20.00Mar 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?$20.00Mar 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?$20.00Mar 15, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?$25.00Mar 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?$175.00Mar 12, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?$164.00Mar 12, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$113.90Mar 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$50.00Mar 11, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$15.00Mar 10, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto end in a draw?$114.81Mar 10, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto end in a draw?$31.00Mar 8, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win?$111.11Mar 8, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Sporting CP (-1.5)$30.00Mar 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win?$30.00Mar 7, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?$47.00Mar 2, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?$217.39Mar 1, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $48.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".