Formal-Cathedral
0x6d84a6cdb411722924af88f7680b7753f10abef4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-97.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 10AM ET
277 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 10?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-11?
188 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
116 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 6AM ET
53 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.83
- NO
Will Dell say "AI Factory" during earnings call?
52 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 6, 10AM ET$2.71Feb 6, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$2.71Feb 6, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.89Feb 5, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.30Feb 4, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7AM ET$0.65Feb 4, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.15Feb 4, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7AM ET$1.25Feb 4, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?$8.24Feb 1, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?$9.99Jan 19, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET$4.10Jan 14, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET$1.00Jan 14, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET$1.00Jan 14, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1PM ET$7.89Jan 13, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1PM ET$7.90Jan 13, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-11?$1.00Jan 11, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?$0.65Jan 11, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?$5.00Jan 11, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 11?$2.00Dec 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?$2.00Dec 10, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.