Colorless-Commitment
0x6d897475b00d7ae695e7b236eae78749f94a757d
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$3.02
Total PnL
$-333.94
Realised
$-22.03
Win rate
1%
147 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 69.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
507 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$2.15Aug 7, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.04Aug 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.06Aug 5, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.92Aug 5, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.04Aug 5, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.89Aug 5, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.04Aug 5, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.05Aug 5, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Aug 5, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$2.70Aug 5, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.04Aug 5, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.05Aug 5, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.05Aug 5, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.05Aug 5, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.05Aug 5, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.05Aug 5, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.04Aug 4, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.04Aug 3, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.92Aug 3, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.03Aug 3, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 147 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
147 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 147 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.